Stress category

Supply Chains

50
Elevated▼ 5 this week

Trade restrictions, shortages, chokepoints, food and water security, critical minerals, and supply-chain disruption

Normal for it. Over the last 90 days it ran from 31 to 61, usually 45 to 55.

Normal range (45 to 55)Before 24 Oct, rebuilt from score history

61Active events
6Running fronts
2Decisions in 30 days
5Went quiet in 90 days
Potential, next 14 days48 to 52
Likely steady
0100

Based on the event and decision trends we have: flat over the last two weeks; 2 decisions due on its events in 14 days (0 high stakes). A range of what is possible, not a forecast.

What moved it since 26 Oct
Where it is feltshare of the weight
  • United Arab Emirates12%
  • China11%
  • Iran9%
  • South Korea8%
  • Australia7%
  • Japan6%
  • United States6%
  • Egypt5%

By the perspectives each event is read from.

The fronts

6 running, 27 of 61 events

Red Sea shipping disruption

11 active events, 20 earlier in 90 days · updated yesterday

23% of the weight

Strait of Hormuz disruption

6 active events, 52 earlier in 90 days · updated yesterday

21% of the weight

China rare earth export controls

3 active events, 11 earlier in 90 days · updated 10h ago

17% of the weight

US-Canada trade dispute

5 active events, 18 earlier in 90 days · updated yesterday

6% of the weight

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  • All 2 decisions due in the next 30 days
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Decisions ahead2 in 30 days

Dates are estimates unless scheduled. More on Ahead.

Other situations

5 events
Went quietlast 90 days