Stress category

Diplomacy

46
Elevated▼ 10 this week

Breakdown in negotiations, alliance fractures, sanctions, diplomatic expulsions, and rival blocs

Normal for it. Over the last 90 days it ran from 37 to 56, usually 45 to 50.

Normal range (45 to 50)Before 24 Oct, rebuilt from score history

53Active events
6Running fronts
0Decisions in 30 days
5Went quiet in 90 days
Potential, next 14 days44 to 48
Likely steady
0100

Based on the event and decision trends we have: down 1.2 a week over the last two weeks; no decisions due on its events in 14 days. A range of what is possible, not a forecast.

Where it is feltshare of the weight
  • Iran14%
  • United States14%
  • Russia9%
  • Israel8%
  • European Union6%
  • Egypt5%
  • China5%
  • Germany5%

By the perspectives each event is read from.

The fronts

6 running, 17 of 53 events

Iran-U.S. ceasefire negotiations

3 active events, 20 earlier in 90 days · updated yesterday

18% of the weight

Russia sanctions policy

4 active events, 32 earlier in 90 days · updated 6 days ago

13% of the weight

US-China tech controls

4 active events, 7 earlier in 90 days · updated yesterday

9% of the weight

Russia-Ukraine war

4 active events, 27 earlier in 90 days · updated 18h ago

9% of the weight

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Other situations

5 events
Went quietlast 90 days